Middle School Experiences, High School Readiness

Essential Question:
What aspects of middle school predict that a high school student will be promoted to the 10th grade, without repeating 9th grade?

National research shows that by the end of the 9th grade, students who lack adequate credits and are "off track" for on-time graduation are those most at risk of dropping out. Given the importance of 9th-grade, efforts to improve graduation rates must begin before students enter high school. We examine the middle-school experiences of a cohort of students to explore what aspects of grades 6, 7 and 8 predict success in high school.

Context: In what sort of neighborhoods did the 6th-graders live?

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Contextual Factors


At least 3,300 (60%) of the sixth graders for whom we had addresses lived in a Census tract where a majority of adults over age 25 had a high school diploma or less.

Neighborhoods matter. When most adults in a neighborhood have low educational attainment, children might see low attainment as normalized. Nationally, 43% of adults over age 25 have a high school diploma or less.

Similarly -- click the "select attribute to see the full menu of choices -- children who live in concentrated poverty see few alternative models for themselves. While families have the strongest influence on children's expectations, communities are powerful too, in ways both encouraging and discouraging. Context matters to kids.

Also note the attribute: "Overcrowding." Rhode Island is the second-densest state in the U.S. Many of these data suggest sometimes-strained family circumstances that can limit adult attention to a child's academic needs.


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