Middle School Experiences, High School Readiness

Essential Question:
What aspects of middle school predict that a high school student will be promoted to the 10th grade, without repeating 9th grade?

National research shows that by the end of the 9th grade, students who lack adequate credits and are "off track" for on-time graduation are those most at risk of dropping out. Given the importance of 9th-grade, efforts to improve graduation rates must begin before students enter high school. We examine the middle-school experiences of a cohort of students to explore what aspects of grades 6, 7 and 8 predict success in high school.

Context: Student Characteristics

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Contextual Factors


Low-income students were almost twice as likely not to be promoted to the 10th grade. Poverty is a strong predictor of 9th-grade non-completion.

DATA NOTE: The percentages in each category reflect that group's proportion of the total number in that category. Thus, of the 100% of students who successfully completed 9th grade, 7.5% were Black. Of the 100% not promoted, 14.4% were Black -- or almost double.

Males were more likely not to be promoted (11.6%) than females (8.0%)

As with Black students, twice as many Hispanic students were not promoted as Hispanic students who were. Poverty is highly correlated with race, so a high proportion of students of the low-income students non-completers were also students of color.

View data table for more raw numbers.


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